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Welcome to EQUIP - End-to-end quantification of uncertainty for impacts prediction

About Us

Our three-year consortium project brings together the UK climate modelling, statistical modelling, and impacts communities to work closely together for the first time on developing risk-based prediction for decision making in the face of climate variability and change

The project team includes researchers from the universities of Leeds, Exeter, Oxford, Edinburgh, Newcastle, Liverpool, Reading, the London School of Economics and the Plymouth Marine Laboratory. Project partners include the Met Office, Environment Agency and CAFOD. Our work will feed directly into future IPCC and Met Office assessments of climate change.

What's New

  1. Recent Publications

    “A bias-corrected decomposition of the Brier score”, C A T Ferro and T E Fricker, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, DOI: 10.1002/qj.1924 22/03/2012 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.1924/full
    “Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heatwave”, Friederike E L Otto, Neil Massey, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Richard G Jones and Myles R Allen, Geophysical Research Letters, 39, [...]

  2. EQUIP Special Issue

    As part of our special issue, we are developing an uncertainty framework – for details contact k.thompson@leeds.ac.uk

Our Research Areas

  • Prediction methods

    Prediction methods

    We are developing new prediction methods to equip society for climate change. These methods can be used to examine a range of impacts, including our three key topics below.
  • Marine Ecosystems

    Marine Ecosystems

    Marine ecosystems supply critical goods such as food, renewable energy and transport, as well as crucial but less tangible services, such as climate regulation and waste assimilation.
  • Crop Production

    Crop Production

    Understanding how crops will react to climate change, and being able to predict yields, will assist the global effort to secure food supplies in some of the world's poorest nations.
  • Droughts and Heatwaves

    Droughts and Heatwaves

    Probabilistic predictions of changes in heatwaves and drought will aid planning and decision-making.