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Welcome to EQUIP - End-to-end quantification of uncertainty for impacts prediction

About Us

Our three-year consortium project brings together the UK climate modelling, statistical modelling, and impacts communities to work closely together for the first time on developing risk-based prediction for decision making in the face of climate variability and change

The project team includes researchers from the universities of Leeds, Exeter, Oxford, Edinburgh, Newcastle, Liverpool, Reading, the London School of Economics and the Plymouth Marine Laboratory. Project partners include the Met Office, Environment Agency and CAFOD. Our work will feed directly into future IPCC and Met Office assessments of climate change.

What's New

  1. EQUIP scientists present views on dealing with uncertainty in crop-climate models and the challenges we face when predicting future changes in extremes

    Two articles in nature journals highlighting the value of robust treatments of uncertainty:
    Global studies using crop-climate models are becoming increasingly common. How should such studies deal with uncertainty? Here, an EQUIP scientist argues that a focus on fundamental bio-physical processes is needed. http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v1/n2/full/nclimate1098.html
    Following an interdisciplinary workshop on climate extremes that brought together climate scientists, statisticians and [...]

  2. EQUIP Planet Earth Article

    Planet Earth article on EQUIP published Spring 2011
    PlanetEarth-spr11-equip

Our Research Areas

  • Prediction methods

    Prediction methods

    We are developing new prediction methods to equip society for climate change. These methods can be used to examine a range of impacts, including our three key topics below.
  • Marine Ecosystems

    Marine Ecosystems

    Marine ecosystems supply critical goods such as food, renewable energy and transport, as well as crucial but less tangible services, such as climate regulation and waste assimilation.
  • Crop Production

    Crop Production

    Understanding how crops will react to climate change, and being able to predict yields, will assist the global effort to secure food supplies in some of the world's poorest nations.
  • Droughts and Heatwaves

    Droughts and Heatwaves

    Probabilistic predictions of changes in heatwaves and drought will aid planning and decision-making.