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Welcome to EQUIP - End-to-end quantification of uncertainty for impacts prediction

About Us

Our three-year consortium project brings together the UK climate modelling, statistical modelling, and impacts communities to work closely together for the first time on developing risk-based prediction for decision making in the face of climate variability and change

The project team includes researchers from the universities of Leeds, Exeter, Oxford, Edinburgh, Newcastle, Liverpool, Reading, the London School of Economics and the Plymouth Marine Laboratory. Project partners include the Met Office, Environment Agency and CAFOD. Our work will feed directly into future IPCC and Met Office assessments of climate change.

What's New

  1. New Policy and Practice Note on Uncertainty

    In collaboration with LWEC, EQUIP has produced a new policy and practice note on dealing with uncertainty in climate and impacts.
    (http://www.lwec.org.uk/publications/climate-impacts-taking-action-face-uncertainty)

  2. Embracing uncertainty in science: What do we need to know to make decisions, and do we know it?

    A new guide from the charity Sense about Science has been launched today at the World Conference of Science Journalists. The guide, on Making sense of uncertainty: why uncertainty is part of science (http://www.senseaboutscience.org/resources.php/127/making-sense-of-uncertainty), challenges the notion that uncertainty is a bad thing, presenting it instead as a mark of sound science. The guide [...]

Our Research Areas

  • Prediction methods

    Prediction methods

    We are developing new prediction methods to equip society for climate change. These methods can be used to examine a range of impacts, including our three key topics below.
  • Marine Ecosystems

    Marine Ecosystems

    Marine ecosystems supply critical goods such as food, renewable energy and transport, as well as crucial but less tangible services, such as climate regulation and waste assimilation.
  • Crop Production

    Crop Production

    Understanding how crops will react to climate change, and being able to predict yields, will assist the global effort to secure food supplies in some of the world's poorest nations.
  • Droughts and Heatwaves

    Droughts and Heatwaves

    Probabilistic predictions of changes in heatwaves and drought will aid planning and decision-making.