Skip to content

Welcome to EQUIP - End-to-end quantification of uncertainty for impacts prediction

About Us

Our three-year consortium project brought together the UK climate modelling, statistical modelling, and impacts communities to work closely together for the first time on developing risk-based prediction for decision making in the face of climate variability and change.

The project team included researchers from the universities of Leeds, Exeter, Oxford, Edinburgh, Newcastle, Liverpool, Reading, the London School of Economics and the Plymouth Marine Laboratory. Project partners included the Met Office, Environment Agency and CAFOD. Our work fed directly into future IPCC and Met Office assessments of climate change.

What's New

  1. EQUIP Outputs

    The EQUIP Special Issue is nearly complete, the following list includes all the Special Issue published papers.

    Calel, R., Stainforth, D.A., and Dietz, S, (2013),Tall tales and Fat tails: The science and economics of extreme warming, Climatic Change, 1-15.
    Hanlon, H., Hegerl, G. C., and Tett, S.F.B (2014): Near-term prediction of impact relevant heatwave extremes. Climatic Change, [...]

  2. EQUIP Project Conclusions

    The two page leaflet presents the main conclusions from the EQUIP project including recommendations on good practice.
    Equip Leaflet

Our Research Areas

  • Prediction methods

    Prediction methods

    We developed new prediction methods to equip society for climate change. These methods can be used to examine a range of impacts, including our three key topics below.
  • Marine Ecosystems

    Marine Ecosystems

    Marine ecosystems supply critical goods such as food, renewable energy and transport, as well as crucial but less tangible services, such as climate regulation and waste assimilation.
  • Crop Production

    Crop Production

    Understanding how crops react to climate change, and being able to predict yields, assist the global effort to secure food supplies in some of the world's poorest nations.
  • Droughts and Heatwaves

    Droughts and Heatwaves

    Probabilistic predictions of changes in heatwaves and drought will aid planning and decision-making.