Our three-year consortium project brings together the UK climate modelling, statistical modelling, and impacts communities to work closely together for the first time on developing risk-based prediction for decision making in the face of climate variability and change
The project team includes researchers from the universities of Leeds, Exeter, Oxford, Edinburgh, Newcastle, Liverpool, Reading, the London School of Economics and the Plymouth Marine Laboratory. Project partners include the Met Office, Environment Agency and CAFOD. Our work will feed directly into future IPCC and Met Office assessments of climate change.
A new guide from the charity Sense about Science has been launched today at the World Conference of Science Journalists. The guide, on Making sense of uncertainty: why uncertainty is part of science (http://www.senseaboutscience.org/resources.php/127/making-sense-of-uncertainty), challenges the notion that uncertainty is a bad thing, presenting it instead as a mark of sound science. The guide [...]
The Special Issue brings together climate, statistical and impacts analyses in order to improve methods for quantifying, reducing and communicating uncertainty in predictions of climate and its impacts.
Climate models have for many years been run as ensembles, in order to capture the uncertainty associated with seasonal to multi-decadal prediction. Whilst it is increasingly common for [...]